NCAAF match page

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida State Seminoles

Game time: Aug 29, 2026 7:00 PM EDT

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Team snapshot

New Mexico State Aggies

Record: 3-5 · FBS (I-A) · Conference USA

Florida State Seminoles

Record: 3-5 · FBS (I-A) · Atlantic Coast Conference

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Full picks for this match

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Florida State Seminoles

Total: Over 53.5 (-110) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: New Mexico State Aggies 17, Florida State Seminoles 34

Why this play: Florida State's fireworks and the Aggies' leaky defense will light up the scoreboard past 53.5.

Quick read:

We're taking the over on this one because the Seminoles bring a high‑octane offense that’s been piling up points, and the Aggies’ defense has been about as tight as a screen door in a hurricane.

Seminoles’ attack has consistently broken the 30‑point barrier, while New Mexico State has struggled to keep opponents off the field, turning games into shootouts more often than not. That combination makes a 53.5‑point total look like a low‑ball estimate.

The only wrinkle is if the Seminoles decide to play a defensive clinic and shut the Aggies down; but at that line, the odds still favor a point‑fest, so keep the over on the board and enjoy the fireworks.

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