Memphis Tigers vs. Boise State Broncos

Quick read:

We're taking the under on this one because both squads love a good grind and hate handing out points like candy. Expect a game that feels more like a chess match in a rainstorm than a fireworks display.

Boise State’s defense has been a brick wall all season, and Memphis’s offense has shown the consistency of a wet match—hardly a scoring machine. When a stout defense meets a sputtering attack, the scoreboard usually stays modest.

The only wrinkle is a potential early surge if Memphis catches a break, but at the current price the risk is thin enough to make the under look like a safe bet.