SMU Mustangs vs. Louisville Cardinals

Quick read:

We’re backing the Cardinals to win by more than a field goal – the -1.5 line tells us the book thinks they’re the better side and we agree.

Louisville carries the market’s confidence, and a 1.5-point cushion is modest enough that a single big play could swing the game in their favor.

Risk? If SMU’s defense decides to actually defend, the margin could shrink, turning a comfortable win into a nail‑biter – but at these odds the upside outweighs the downside.