Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthers

Quick read:

Take the Panthers on the moneyline because they are the only team in this Week 5 slate that looks like it actually knows what a winning streak feels like. Old Dominion is coming off a rough patch and is desperate for a bounce-back, which usually means they play tight, fearful football that chokes the life out of their own offense. You don't bet on a team that's just "eyeing a bounce-back" when the other side is five and dripping with confidence; you bet on the momentum that actually exists.

The fact that Georgia State is coming into this game on a five-game win streak tells you everything you need to know about their current rhythm. Meanwhile, Old Dominion is the team that needs to prove they can compete, not just show up and hope for the best. In college football, the difference between a team that is winning and a team that is surviving is often the margin of error, and right now, the Panthers have the luxury of making mistakes while the Monarchs have to be perfect just to stay relevant.

The only real risk here is if the Panthers get complacent and treat this like a formality, but even a lazy five-and-zero team usually beats a disorganized team that's trying to figure out its identity. Just don't expect a blowout; this is a moneyline play, not a total, so as long as Georgia State keeps their heads up, the W is in the bag.