Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
Moneyline: Kansas City Royals ML (-122) — Loss
Why this play: The Royals' slightly stronger offense and Boston's leaky pitching suggest Kansas City can sneak this one out.
Quick read:
Backing Kansas City on the moneyline feels like the sensible choice when you consider they've scored a solid 190 runs compared to Boston's 170. That extra offensive juice could be the difference in a close contest. The Royals have also managed 46 home runs, which is a respectable number to keep Boston's pitchers honest.
Boston's pitching staff has allowed 188 runs, which is a mark just a bit better than Kansas City's 213 runs allowed, but the difference doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in the Red Sox to shut down Kansas City's bats completely. The Royals' 378 hits this season highlight a team that can manufacture offense in more ways than just homers.
Of course, the risk here is that Kansas City's pitching has been somewhat porous, allowing more runs than Boston, so if Boston's offense finds its rhythm, this bet could look less appealing. But then again, if you wanted a sure thing, you wouldn't be reading this, would you?
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