Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

Quick read:

Backing Toronto with the +1.5 spread is sensible here. The Blue Jays have managed to scrape together 188 runs this season, which isn't exactly a powerhouse total, but it’s enough to keep them within striking distance. Meanwhile, the Yankees' defense is tight, allowing just 169 runs, so it's unlikely Toronto will run wild, but they should stay close.

Toronto's 42 home runs and 375 hits show they can make some noise offensively, albeit inconsistently. That kind of firepower suggests they won’t be completely overwhelmed by New York’s pitching staff, especially when given a slight cushion by the +1.5 line.

The risk here is that the Yankees’ superior run differential hints at a team that could dominate, making the spread vulnerable to a Yankees cover. But at +1.5, the Jays just need to avoid a blowout — a modest ask when you consider they’ve scored nearly 190 runs this season. Plus, if you like rooting for the underdog, this line has a nice little wink to it.