Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tiger

Quick read:

Backing the over 7.5 runs in this Angels-Tigers game is straightforward given the Angels' track record of both scoring and conceding plenty. When a team has allowed 285 runs while scoring 227, it's a safe bet that run totals can pile up quickly. This is not a low-scoring pitchers’ duel waiting to happen.

The Angels' 417 hits this season further underline their ability to generate offense at a steady clip. Combine that with their suspect run prevention, and the scoreboard should have no trouble clearing the 7.5 mark. Tigers’ offense may not be explosive, but the Angels' defensive woes make it unlikely they hold their opponents quiet.

The only wrinkle here is the market price; if the juice on the over creeps too high, it could kill value. But at a reasonable line, trusting a team that’s both a sieve and a decent bat to push the total over is about as safe as betting gets without being boring.