Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Quick read:

I'm backing Baltimore to pull the rug out from under the Sox, because when a team that’s rattling off 172 homers meets a pitching staff that’s only given up 555 runs, the odds get tasty.

The O’s have piled up 640 runs on 1,111 hits this season, a sign they can manufacture offense even against a Boston staff that’s been stingy but not spectacular, and those extra homers could be the difference in a close game.

Risk? The Orioles have also given up 662 runs, so a sudden pitching wobble could flip the script – but at the current price the upside outweighs the downside.