Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Quick read:

Backing Milwaukee on the +1.5 spread makes solid sense when you consider the Dodgers have scored just 24 more runs than the Brewers this season, hardly a runaway difference. The Brewers’ pitching has kept them in games, allowing only seven more runs than Los Angeles despite fewer runs scored. This suggests they can hold their own and keep this game close.

Milwaukee’s lineup may not be a powerhouse, with 34 home runs compared to the Dodgers’ presumably higher slugging, but their 406 hits indicate they’re getting on base regularly enough to manufacture runs. That steady offensive approach pairs well with their pitching to keep games competitive, which is exactly what you want when taking a small spread cushion.

The risk here is that the Dodgers’ 269 runs scored could still tip the scales if they find an extra gear, but with a +1.5 buffer, you’re not asking Milwaukee to win outright, just to keep it respectable. In other words, it’s a bet that’s not asking too much, and sometimes that’s the best kind.