Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
Total: Over 9.5 (-110) — Win
Why this play: Over 9.5 stands out because the posted number looks a little too high or too low for the way this game should flow.
Quick read:
The Philadelphia Phillies (7-8, third in NL East) begin a three-game home series against the Chicago Cubs (7-8, fifth in NL Central) on Monday, April 13, 2026, at 6:40 p.m. EDT in Philadelphia.
The probable pitchers are Javier Assad for the Cubs (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.53 WHIP, three strikeouts) and Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies (1-1, 1.65 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 23 strikeouts). BetMGM Sportsbook lists the Phillies as -188 favorites, the Cubs as +157 underdogs, with an over/under of 8 runs.
The Phillies are 4-5 at home with a collective pitching ERA of 4.16 (10th in the NL), while the Cubs are 3-3 on the road and have a 7-1 record in games where they out-hit opponents. Top performers include Phillies' Justin Crawford (.341 batting average, four doubles, one triple, four walks, one RBI) and Bryce Harper (13 for 35 in the last 10 games with three home runs and eight RBIs).
Cubs' Nico Hoerner is hitting .316 with seven doubles and one home run, while Moises Ballesteros is 9 for 24 with two home runs in his last 10 games. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
The Phillies have injuries...
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