Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
Total: Under 12.5 (-110) — Loss
Why this play: Under 12.5 is worth a look because the game script points this way.
Quick read:
On April 11, 2026, Sports Illustrated analyst identifies three top MLB betting picks. First, the Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates matchup features Edward Cabrera (2 hits, 6 walks in 11.2 scoreless innings) against Braxton Ashcraft (3 runs, 8 hits in 12.0 innings), both of whom have strong starts in the 2026 season; both teams are tied for 15th in runs scored. Second, San Francisco Giants ace Logan Webb, who tossed seven innings of one-run ball in his last start against the New York Mets using only 92 pitches, is recommended to go into the seventh inning against the Baltimore Orioles; Webb has allowed 10 hits and four runs over his last 13.0 innings and led the NL in innings pitched for three consecutive seasons. Third, the Seattle Mariners are favored over the Houston Astros at home; despite Houston's top-five MLB OPS, the Mariners hold the advantage with Luis Castillo (2.79 ERA) facing Lance McCullers Jr. (3.27 ERA), who exited his last start after four innings. The Astros are on a five-game skid, are 1-6 on the road, and rank dead last in MLB bullpen ERA (7.08), while the...
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