MLB match page

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Game time: May 25, 2026 1:36 PM EDT

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Team snapshot

Chicago Cubs

Record: 29-25 · Win pct .537

Pittsburgh Pirates

Record: 28-26 · Win pct .519

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Full picks for this match

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Moneyline: Chicago Cubs ML (-122) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: Chicago Cubs 1, Pittsburgh Pirates 2

Why this play: The Cubs have just enough offensive muscle and a slightly better hit count to edge the Pirates on the moneyline.

Quick read:

Backing the Chicago Cubs moneyline here means betting on a team that has shown a modest edge in offensive production, managing 424 hits compared to the Pirates’ near-identical run totals. It’s not a slugfest, but the Cubs’ ability to convert at-bats into hits gives them a slight advantage in generating scoring opportunities.
Despite the Pirates scoring a nearly identical number of runs, the Cubs have managed 60 home runs this season, which suggests they can deliver game-changing hits rather than relying solely on small-ball tactics. That power element could be the difference-maker in a close game.
The risk is that these teams are closely matched in runs allowed, so it might come down to the bullpen or a timely hit. Still, the price on the Cubs moneyline reflects that subtle edge, and sometimes you have to back the team that’s a bit better at putting the ball in play rather than hoping for fireworks.

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