Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
Spread: Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-118) — Win
Why this play: Colorado’s +1.5 spread is a smart play given their surprisingly competent offense against a Cubs pitching staff that has allowed fewer runs but may not keep this close.
Quick read:
Backing Colorado to stay within 1.5 runs is straightforward: they have managed to put 329 runs on the board this season, which suggests they can at least hang around offensively. The Rockies aren’t exactly a powerhouse, but they’ve scraped together enough hits and home runs to keep the scoreboard ticking.
The Cubs, meanwhile, have allowed 320 runs, fewer than Colorado’s 419, indicating their pitching has been steadier. However, the Rockies have a knack for sneaking into games against teams with better defensive profiles, making the spread appealing for those who don’t expect a blowout.
The risk here is Colorado’s pitching, which has been porous, but that’s precisely why the line isn’t set at a full run. If you want a reason not to bet it, well, consider that sometimes playing the underdog feels like rooting for the bullpen's collective hangover to end early.
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