MLB match page

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Game time: Apr 30, 2026 1:11 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Washington Nationals

Record: 15-17 · Win pct .469

New York Mets

Record: 10-21 · Win pct .323

Full picks for this match

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Total: Under 7.5 (-105) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

CLV: -0.5 pts vs closing line

Final score: Washington Nationals 14, New York Mets 2

Why this play: Both pitching staffs have struggled to contain opposing offenses, but recent injuries and cold bats point to a subdued scoring night under 7.5 runs.

Quick read:

Cade Cavalli and David Peterson take the mound with neither showing dominant form this season. Cavalli’s 4.01 ERA and Peterson’s 5.06 ERA suggest both pitchers have given up their share of runs, but their teams’ offensive woes could keep the scoreboard quiet. The Mets’ lineup is missing key contributors like Francisco Lindor and Kodai Senga, which diminishes their firepower, especially at home where they’ve been underwhelming this year.

On the other side, the Nationals have been equally anemic at the plate, batting just .193 over their last 10 games. Though C.J. Abrams and Daylen Lile have provided some pop, those efforts aren’t enough to ignite a high-scoring affair against a Mets pitching staff that, while imperfect, can limit damage with runners on base.

Both teams have dealt with significant injury issues that have thinned their offensive depth, and the recent trends point toward a low-scoring contest rather than a slugfest. With the total set at 7.5, this game looks primed to stay under as both staffs look to avoid a shootout and keep the game within reach.

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Archive note

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