NBA match page

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Game time: Apr 23, 2026 9:30 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Denver Nuggets

Record: 3-2 · Northwest · Western Conference

Minnesota Timberwolves

Record: 4-3 · Northwest · Western Conference

Full picks for this match

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves ML (110) — Win

EV signal: Premium only

CLV: +0.4% vs closing line

Final score: Denver Nuggets 96, Minnesota Timberwolves 113

Why this play: The Timberwolves have the home-court edge and offensive firepower to take Game 3, exploiting Denver's defensive lapses and Jamal Murray’s recent turnover issues.

Quick read:

After splitting the first two games, Minnesota’s confidence is at a peak following their 119-114 win on Denver’s floor. Anthony Edwards is a matchup nightmare, consistently attacking the rim and drawing defensive attention that opens lanes for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo. This dynamic inside-out game is crucial against a Nuggets squad that has struggled to contain aggressive paint attacks, especially from Edwards who averages 11 points in the paint.

Denver’s Jamal Murray needs to clean up his turnover issues, particularly after a costly fourth quarter in Game 2. If he continues to falter, it will put extra pressure on Nikola Jokic to carry the offense alone. Defensively, Jokic faces a tough assignment against Jaden McDaniels, who has been effective disrupting Denver's offensive rhythm. Without Peyton Watson, Denver’s depth on the wings is compromised, making their defense more vulnerable.

Minnesota’s 48.1% shooting efficiency, combined with strong home-court energy at the Target Center, counters Denver’s superior three-point shooting. The Nuggets’ reliance on perimeter scoring could be neutralized by the Timberwolves’ solid perimeter defense. With the series tied and momentum on their side, the Timberwolves are poised to capitalize on Denver’s weaknesses and secure a pivotal Game 3 victory.

Log this pick

Archive note

Archived match pages skip live props to reduce API calls and keep history pages lighter.

Odd$mith app

📱 Every pick, in your pocket. Daily best-bet cards, live odds, and the full board — free on Android. Get the app →