WNBA match page

Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury

Game time: Jul 17, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

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Team snapshot

Connecticut Sun

Record: 0-0

Phoenix Mercury

Record: 0-0

Watch the breakdown

Full picks for this match

Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury

Total: Over 163.5 (-110) — Win

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: Connecticut Sun 96, Phoenix Mercury 83

Why this play: Both teams crash the boards hard, setting the stage for a high-scoring game that clears 163.5 points with ease.

Quick read:

Backing the Over 163.5 in this Sun vs. Mercury clash is straightforward when your eyes land on two teams that don’t just play—they hustle for every rebound. Connecticut pulls down 33.2 per game, Phoenix isn’t far behind at 31.6, which means extra possessions and second-chance points are baked into this matchup.
Connecticut’s three-point shooting leaves something to be desired at 27.6%, but Phoenix compensates with a respectable 33.0%, ensuring the scoring won’t stall out. When one team struggles from deep and the other picks up the slack, it keeps the scoreboard ticking upward.
The only fly in the ointment is the line itself—163.5 isn’t exactly a cakewalk to surpass, so it’s worth remembering that a dry shooting night from both squads could leave you clutching your ticket. But given the rebounding battle and Phoenix’s shooting edge, this looks like a bet worth taking a chance on.

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