New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun

Quick read:

Backing the over in this game makes sense when you consider the Liberty and Sun's combined rebounding prowess, which tends to generate extra possessions and second-chance points. New York’s respectable 35.3% three-point shooting adds a reliable scoring dimension that should keep the scoreboard ticking. The Sun may not be lighting it up from deep at 25.8%, but their own 33.9 rebounds per game means they’re not just relying on long-range bombs to contribute points.

The Liberty’s ability to secure rebounds and convert from beyond the arc should open up scoring opportunities and push this game’s point total higher. Meanwhile, the Sun’s strength on the glass will keep possessions alive, preventing a slow, grinding pace that would work against the over bet. The combined rebounding edge makes a defensive slugfest unlikely.

Of course, the total is set at a respectable 162.5, so it’s not a free lunch. If either team suddenly forgets how to hit the boards or the Liberty’s three-point stroke cools off unexpectedly, the over could be in trouble. Still, given these rebounding numbers and shooti