Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever

Quick read:

I'm backing the Dallas Wings to stay within five and a half points – they’ve got the glass to keep the Fever from pulling away.

The Wings pull down 34.1 rebounds per game, edging Indiana’s 33.4, and that extra board can turn missed threes (they’re only 34% from deep) into second‑chance points.

The only wrinkle is the spread is generous; if the Fever tighten up on the boards, the Wings could drift beyond the line, but the rebound edge still makes the +5.5 a tasty hedge.