Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo

Quick read:

Backing Phoenix on the moneyline feels like a smart move when you consider their marginally better perimeter shooting. At 32.1% from beyond the arc, the Mercury have just enough range to stretch the Tempo’s defense and create scoring opportunities that could tip a close game.
Both teams are neck and neck on the boards, each hauling in an average of 31.8 rebounds per game, so this contest will likely be decided by who can convert those possessions efficiently. Phoenix’s superior three-point accuracy suggests they might do better with those extra chances.
The risk here is that with rebounding parity, the game could become a grind, and if Phoenix’s shooters go cold, the pick might turn chilly too. But then again, a coin toss has about the same odds, so why not trust a team that can at least hit shots?