Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings

Quick read:

Backing the over 170.5 in this Mystics-Wings showdown makes sense when you consider how both teams control the glass. Washington pulls down an impressive 43.3 rebounds per game, while Dallas isn’t far behind at 29.0, meaning extra possessions and second-chance points will be abundant. More rebounds mean more shot attempts, and more shot attempts generally mean more points.

Shooting percentages tell a mixed story, but Dallas’s 31.8% from three suggests they’ll rely on perimeter scoring, which can quickly inflate totals if those shots start falling. Washington’s 24.2% three-point clip isn’t stellar, but their volume of rebounds can compensate by creating extra scoring opportunities inside. The combination of these factors makes a high total not just possible but probable.

The only wrinkle is that neither team’s three-point shooting is elite, so if they collectively go cold from deep, the total could stall. But then again, with this many rebounds in play, the game is unlikely to be a snooze-fest. Consider this a calculated bet on pace and possession, not a hail mary on sharp shooting.