WNBA match page

Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

Game time: Aug 22, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Atlanta Dream

Record: 8-4

Phoenix Mercury

Record: 0-0

Full picks for this match

Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

Total: Over 175.5 (-110) — Win

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: Atlanta Dream 99, Phoenix Mercury 89

Why this play: These rebound‑hungry, three‑point‑spraying squads will light up the scoreboard and push the total over 175.5.

Quick read:

I'm calling the Over – Atlanta and Phoenix are set to turn this contest into a board‑crashing, long‑range fireworks show that’ll have the points ticking faster than a bar tab on happy hour.

The Dream pulls down a league‑respectable 35.3 rebounds per game while the Mercury isn’t far behind at 31.6, guaranteeing plenty of second‑chance points, and both teams hover around the low‑30s from beyond the arc (31.8% and 32.2% respectively), so those extra possessions will likely end up as three‑pointers.

The only wrinkle is if one side clamps down on the paint and forces a slower pace, but at a total of 175.5 the price feels generous enough to let the rebound and three‑point fireworks do the heavy lifting.

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