WNBA match page

Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings

Game time: Jun 11, 2026 9:10 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Phoenix Mercury

Record: 0-0

Dallas Wings

Record: 1-2

Full picks for this match

Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings

Total: Over 169.5 (-110) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: Phoenix Mercury 70, Dallas Wings 85

Why this play: With both teams crashing the boards and knocking down threes at a decent clip, expect the total to clear 169.5 points without breaking a sweat.

Quick read:

This game is shaping up to be a rebounding clinic, with Phoenix pulling down 31.7 boards a game and Dallas edging them out at 33.4. More rebounds mean more second-chance opportunities, which typically inflate scoring totals. Expect plenty of possessions extended beyond the initial shot clock buzz.

Both teams also boast respectable three-point shooting percentages—Phoenix at 30.9% and Dallas at 35.8%. When you combine decent perimeter shooting with a high volume of possessions generated by rebounds, it’s a recipe for pushing the scoring up and over the 169.5 mark.

Now, the only slight fly in the ointment is that neither team is lighting it up from deep like Steph Curry on a good day. But given their combined rebounding prowess, that’s a small speed bump on the way to clearing this total. If you like points, this is worth a look.

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