WNBA match page

Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm

Game time: May 22, 2026 10:00 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Connecticut Sun

Record: 0-0

Seattle Storm

Record: 0-0

Full picks for this match

Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm

Moneyline: Seattle Storm ML (-135) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: Connecticut Sun 80, Seattle Storm 78

Why this play: Seattle's sharper shooting and gritty rebounding edge make them the smarter moneyline play against Connecticut's slightly higher boards.

Quick read:

Backing Seattle on the moneyline is straightforward here: they bring a deadly 33.3% three-point shot that can stretch Connecticut’s defense and create scoring runs. When a team can hit from deep consistently, it forces the opponents to adjust in ways that can open up other scoring opportunities.

Connecticut does boast a small rebounding advantage, pulling down 34 boards per game compared to Seattle’s 30.2. However, rebounding alone won’t win the game if the shooting isn’t there to back it up. Seattle’s ability to convert from beyond the arc should neutralize that modest rebounding edge.

The risk lies in Seattle not controlling the glass as effectively as the Sun, which could lead to second-chance points for Connecticut. Still, given the price on the moneyline, it’s a risk worth taking—because sometimes, the best defense against rebounding dominance is just being better at putting the ball in the basket.

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Archive note

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