Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury

Quick read:

Over 165.5 stands out because the posted number looks a little too high or too low for the way this game should flow.

Connecticut Sun averages 33.2 rebounds per game. Connecticut Sun is shooting 27.7% from three.

Over 165.5 is the better angle in Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury because the matchup support is good enough to back the number without pretending every stat needs to sing in harmony.

If the number moves too far or late availability news changes the setup, the edge gets thinner before the game starts. A decent read can still get mugged by late-game nonsense, but that is part of the job description.