EPL match page

Burnley vs. Leeds United

Game time: May 1, 2026 3:00 PM EDT

Team snapshot

Burnley

Record: 4-10-24

Leeds United

Record: 2-5-2 · English Premiership 2001-2002

Full picks for this match

Burnley vs. Leeds United

Spread: Leeds United -1.5 (115) — Win

EV signal: Premium only

CLV: 0.0 pts vs closing line

Final score: Burnley 1, Leeds United 3

Why this play: Leeds have been clinical on the road and Burnley’s injury woes leave them vulnerable at Turf Moor—expect Leeds to cover the -1.5 spread with authority.

Quick read:

Burnley’s defense has been a sieve lately, conceding 13 goals in their last five matches and showing no signs of tightening up. Their injury list reads like a who’s who of key players, severely limiting Scott Parker’s options to shore up the backline or spark any attacking threat. Meanwhile, Leeds United have thrived away from home, demonstrating a sharp edge and clinical finishing that can exploit Burnley’s frailty.

Leeds’ midfield has been dynamic, consistently creating chances and maintaining pressure throughout matches. Burnley’s recent 4-1 drubbing by Nottingham Forest exposed their defensive disorganization and lack of confidence, especially on set pieces and transitions. Given Leeds’ attacking firepower and Burnley’s ongoing struggles, Leeds covering the -1.5 spread is a smart bet to capitalize on a likely decisive away victory.

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Archive note

Archived match pages skip live props to reduce API calls and keep history pages lighter.

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