Villarreal vs. Alavés

Quick read:

I'm backing Villarreal on the moneyline – a straightforward three points for the hosts who've turned La Cerámica into a fortress.

Playing at home gives them a clear edge; Villarreal's record on their own grass has been solid, while Alavés has never been comfortable away from Mendizorroza.

The price is thin, so the upside is modest, and a sudden Alavés spark could bite, but that's a risk worth the cheap ticket.