MLS match page

FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Game time: May 16, 2026 10:30 PM EDT

Team snapshot

FC Dallas

Record: 15-10-8

San Jose Earthquakes

Record: 14-10-9

Full picks for this match

FC Dallas vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Moneyline: San Jose Earthquakes ML (-125) — Loss

EV signal: Premium only

Final score: FC Dallas 3, San Jose Earthquakes 2

Why this play: San Jose's knack for stealing points on the road makes them a savvy moneyline play against a Dallas side that hasn't exactly been setting the league on fire at home.

Quick read:

Backing San Jose to win outright here is a clear-cut call. FC Dallas has struggled to capitalize on home advantage, and San Jose’s style tends to disrupt teams that rely too much on possession, which Dallas often does. This mismatch in approach should tilt the scales in favor of the visitors.
San Jose’s ability to keep games tight on the road is significant; they rarely crumble under pressure and can exploit lapses in concentration. Dallas’ defensive lapses at home open just enough cracks for San Jose to sneak through with a result.
That said, taking the moneyline always carries a hint of risk—soccer being the low-scoring, high-surprise sport it is. But the odds here seem to offer enough value to justify a wager, unless you’re secretly banking on a miracle from Dallas’s offense.

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Archive note

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