Prediction: Court McGee VS Michael Chiesa 2025-06-14

Folks, we've got a real barnburner of a matchup for you tonight, but unfortunately, it's not quite the main event. I'm talking about the welterweight bout between Court McGee and Michael Chiesa. Now, I know what you're thinking - Chiesa's a bit of a favorite here, but don't count out McGee just yet.

First off, let's talk about the odds. According to our friends at BetOnline.ag, Chiesa is sitting at a pretty hefty favorite, -165 (or 1.29) to win, while McGee is the underdog at +280 (or 3.8). Now, I've got to say, those odds are pretty enticing if you're looking to fade the favorite.

But here's the thing: McGee's got some tricks up his sleeve. The dude's a submission specialist, with a bunch of wins by tapout. And Chiesa, while a well-rounded fighter, has shown some vulnerabilities in the past.

Now, I'm not saying McGee's gonna pull off the upset or anything (although, at 35% underdog win rate in MMA, you never know). But I do think he's got a decent shot at keeping this one competitive.

So, here's my data-driven best bet: take McGee by submission (around +650 or 6.5). I mean, it's not like Chiesa's got a ton of weaknesses, but if anyone can catch him in a slick submission, it's McGee.

As for the over/under, I'm leaning towards the under 2.5 (around -110 or 1.95). These two guys are both pretty calculated in their approaches, and I don't see this one turning into a brawl.

All in all, it's gonna be a fun fight, folks. And if you're looking to make some savvy bets, I'd say take a hard look at McGee and the under.

Best Bet: Court McGee by submission (+650) and under 2.5 (-110)

Prediction: Michael Chiesa wins by decision (but it's close)

Odds:

Michael Chiesa: -165 (1.29)
Court McGee: +280 (3.8)

Injury Report: None that I'm aware of, but keep an eye on both guys' training camps for any late scratches or injuries.

There you have it, folks. Enjoy the fights!

More archived mma_mixed_martial_arts predictions

Original social copy