Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels VS Vanderbilt Commodores 2025-05-25

Published May 25, 2025, 12:17 a.m. · NCAA Baseball

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction:  Ole Miss Rebels VS Vanderbilt Commodores 2025-05-25

The stage is set for a thrilling SEC Championship showdown between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Rebels are riding high after their impressive 2-0 shutout win over LSU in the semifinals, with their pitching staff delivering a masterclass performance. Freshman Cade Townsend and the bullpen combination of Gunnar Dennis, Will McCausland, and Connor Spencer were virtually unhittable, allowing just two hits and striking out 10 batters.

Meanwhile, the Commodores will look to spoil the Rebels' party, but they'll have to contend with Ole Miss's shutdown pitching staff and the red-hot bat of Austin Fawley, who has 10 home runs in his last 21 games. Fawley's .613 slugging percentage is the highest on the team, and he's tied with Judd Utermark for the team lead with 16 home runs.

As for the odds, the Rebels are slight underdogs, with DraftKings and BetMGM listing them at 2.05 and 2.05, respectively. The spread is set at 1.5 runs, with the Rebels at 1.6 and 1.61, respectively. The over/under is 10.5 runs, with both books offering 1.87 on both the over and under.

My best bet for this game is the Ole Miss Rebels +1.5 runs at 1.6 (DraftKings) or 1.61 (BetMGM). The Rebels' pitching staff has been lights out, and I think they can keep the Commodores' offense in check. With Fawley and the rest of the Rebels' lineup capable of putting up runs, I like their chances of keeping it close and potentially pulling off the upset. Take the Rebels +1.5 and enjoy the game!

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