Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Phoenix Mercury VS Los Angeles Sparks 2025-06-01

Published June 1, 2025, 7:45 a.m. · WNBA

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction: Phoenix Mercury VS Los Angeles Sparks 2025-06-01

The Los Angeles Sparks, desperate to break their two-game losing streak, are set to host the Phoenix Mercury on Sunday. The Sparks, led by Kelsey Plum, who's averaging 24.0 points per game, are favored to win this one, with odds ranging from -4.0 to -4.5 across various bookmakers. However, it's worth noting that Plum's point total is set at 20.5, which is below her season average, and she's been dealing with fatigue.

The Mercury, on the other hand, have a strong lineup, with Satou Sabally averaging 20.8 points per game and Sami Whitcomb showing improvement in her last game. However, they'll be without Alyssa Thomas due to a calf injury, which could be a significant blow.

Given the Sparks' struggles and the Mercury's recent form, I'm going to take the Mercury +4.5 points. The Mercury have been playing well, and while the Sparks have the talent to outshoot them, I think the Mercury's defense can keep them in check. Plus, the Sparks' recent performances have been underwhelming, and I'm not convinced they can cover the spread.

Best bet: Phoenix Mercury +4.5 points (available at FanDuel, DraftKings, and other bookmakers).

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