Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Arizona Diamondbacks 2025-05-27

Published May 26, 2025, 9:34 p.m. · MLB

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates VS Arizona Diamondbacks 2025-05-27

The Pittsburgh Pirates, with their impressive 19-35 record, are set to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are barely above .500 at 26-27. I mean, who needs a winning record when you can have a team name that sounds like a rejected villain from a bad 90s action movie?

In all seriousness, the Diamondbacks have a significant advantage in this matchup, with a potent offense led by Josh Naylor, Corbin Carroll, and Eugenio Suarez. They're facing off against Andrew Heaney, who's had a decent season with a 3-3 record and 2.91 ERA, but let's be real, he's no ace. Ryne Nelson, on the other hand, has a 1-1 record and 4.60 ERA, which is... not great, but he's got the benefit of pitching for the better team.

The money line has the Diamondbacks as favorites at -185, with the Pirates at +155. I'd take the Diamondbacks to win, but not by much. The Pirates have managed to scrape together 13 wins as underdogs this season, so they're not completely hopeless.

My best bet for this game is the Diamondbacks -1.5, with odds ranging from 1.77 to 1.83 across different bookmakers. The Diamondbacks' offense should be able to overpower the Pirates, and with a decent pitching performance from Nelson, they should be able to cover the spread.

As for the total, I'd lean towards the over, but only slightly. The Diamondbacks average 1.4 home runs per game, and the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.01, so there's potential for some runs to be scored. However, the total is set at 9.0, which might be a bit too high. I'd take the over at 1.95 or better, but it's not a strong bet.

Overall, this game should be a relatively easy win for the Diamondbacks, but don't expect a blowout. The Pirates will likely keep it close, but ultimately fall short. Take the Diamondbacks -1.5 and enjoy the (likely) mediocre baseball.

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