Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates VS San Diego Padres 2025-05-31

Published May 30, 2025, 7:03 p.m. · MLB

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates VS San Diego Padres 2025-05-31

The Pittsburgh Pirates, riding a two-game winning streak, are about to crash into the San Diego Padres' party at PETCO Park. The Padres, with their shiny 31-23 record, are looking to bounce back from a loss that snapped their three-game winning streak.

Let's get down to business. The Padres' Nick Pivetta (5-2, 2.72 ERA) is a force to be reckoned with, and Mitch Keller (1-6, 3.66 ERA) will have his work cut out for him. Fernando Tatis Jr. is always a threat, batting .273 with 13 home runs, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa is trying to keep the Pirates' ship afloat with a .297 batting average.

The odds are stacked against the Pirates, with the Padres being the moneyline favorite at 1.43 (FanDuel). However, the Pirates have been the underdog 40 times this season and have managed to win 15 of those games, so they're not entirely out of the woods.

My best bet for this game is the Under 7.5 runs. With Pivetta on the mound, the Padres have a good chance of keeping the Pirates' offense in check. The Pirates' Mitch Keller has been decent, but the Padres' lineup is potent enough to capitalize on any mistakes. The Under 7.5 runs is available at 1.91 (FanDuel), which seems like a solid bet considering the pitching matchup.

So, if you're looking to make some cash, take the Under 7.5 runs. Just don't say I didn't warn you if the Pirates decide to pull off a miracle.

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