Legacy Prediction

Prediction: San Diego Padres VS Atlanta Braves 2025-05-24

Published May 23, 2025, 7:35 p.m. · MLB

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction:  San Diego Padres VS Atlanta Braves 2025-05-24

The San Diego Padres, losers of six straight, are looking to right the ship against the Atlanta Braves, who are trying to bounce back from back-to-back losses. The Braves are sending Chris Sale to the mound, while the Padres will counter with Nick Pivetta.

The Braves have been a decent bet at home, but their offense has been mediocre, ranking 17th in home runs per game. The Padres, on the other hand, have been a good underdog bet, winning 50% of their games as the underdog.

With Chris Sale on the mound, you'd think the Braves would be a lock, but Sale has been inconsistent this season. The Padres' lineup, featuring Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, is capable of putting up runs against anyone.

The odds have the Braves as a slight favorite, with a moneyline price of 2.04 on FanDuel, and the over/under set at 8.5. Given the Padres' recent struggles and the Braves' home-field advantage, I'd take the Braves to win, but the value lies in the under. Both teams have been struggling to score, and with two decent pitchers on the mound, I think we see a lower-scoring game.

Best bet: Under 8.5 runs (price: 1.95 on DraftKings)

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