Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Seattle Mariners VS Houston Astros 2025-05-22

Published May 22, 2025, 11:52 a.m. · MLB

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction:  Seattle Mariners VS Houston Astros 2025-05-22

The battle for AL West supremacy is on. The Seattle Mariners, with their impressive 28-20 record, are set to take on the Houston Astros, who are looking to bounce back from a mediocre 25-24 start. The Mariners have been moneyline favorites 29 times this season and have come out on top 17 times, which is a promising sign. However, the Astros have been pesky underdogs, winning 43.8% of their 16 games as underdogs.

George Kirby is making his first start of the season for the Mariners, which is an interesting variable to consider. On the other hand, Lance McCullers has been struggling with an ERA of 7.88, which could be a recipe for disaster against the Mariners' potent offense.

The odds are in favor of the Mariners, with most bookmakers pricing them around 1.70-1.76 to win. The Astros are hovering around 2.12-2.22. The spread is set at 1.5, with the Astros priced around 1.68-1.72 and the Mariners at 2.15-2.22.

My best bet for this game is the Seattle Mariners on the moneyline. With their strong record as favorites and the Astros' struggles, I think the Mariners will come out on top. The price of around 1.70-1.76 is reasonable, considering the Mariners' recent form.

As for the total, I'm leaning towards the under. The Mariners have a respectable team ERA of 3.73, and the Astros have been decent on the mound as well, with a team ERA of 3.49. The total is set at 8.5, and I think the under is a good bet, especially considering the pitching matchup.

So, there you have it. Mariners on the moneyline and under 8.5 runs. Let's see how it plays out.

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