Legacy Prediction

Prediction: Seattle Mariners VS Houston Astros 2025-05-23

Published May 22, 2025, 3:23 p.m. · MLB

Archived page: this prediction was originally published for a past matchup/date. It stays live as part of the Odd$mith archive.

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Prediction:  Seattle Mariners VS Houston Astros 2025-05-23

The battle for AL West supremacy is on. The Seattle Mariners, with their impressive 28-20 record, are looking to take down the Houston Astros, who are clinging to a 25-24 record. But don't count out the Astros just yet, folks. They've been the underdog 16 times this season and have still managed to win 43.8% of those games. That's like me predicting the outcome of a coin flip - it's a crapshoot, but someone's gotta do it.

Now, let's talk about the pitching matchup. George Kirby is making his first start of the season for the Mariners, which is like throwing a rookie into the deep end and hoping they don't drown. Meanwhile, Lance McCullers is taking the mound for the Astros, sporting a not-so-pretty 7.88 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Yikes, that's like trying to put out a fire with a squirt gun.

The odds are looking like this: Astros are favored at 1.82 (FanDuel), with the Mariners coming in at 2.04. The over/under is set at 8.5, with both options priced at 1.91. I'm no math whiz, but it seems like the bookies are expecting a relatively low-scoring game.

My best bet? I've got to go with the under 8.5. With Kirby making his first start and McCullers... well, being McCullers, I think we can expect a bit of a pitcher's duel. Plus, the Astros have been pretty stingy with their runs allowed, ranking eighth in the majors with a 3.49 ERA. The Mariners have been decent on the mound as well, with a 3.73 team ERA. It's gonna be a tight game, folks, so buckle up.

Best bet: Under 8.5 (1.91, FanDuel)

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