Prediction: South Dakota Coyotes VS Kansas St Wildcats 2025-12-20

Kansas State Wildcats vs. South Dakota Coyotes: A Spread So Wide, It’s a Laughter

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a basketball spectacle where the underdog isn’t just under, they’re under the bus. On Saturday, December 20, 2025, the Kansas State Wildcats (7-4) host the South Dakota Coyotes (7-6) at Bramlage Coliseum, where the spread is so lopsided (-21.5 for Kansas State) it makes a kindergarten vs. the NBA matchup look competitive. Let’s unpack this like a Christmas present wrapped in riddles.

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### The Numbers: Why This Spread Feels Like a Math Test
Kansas State is the offensive equivalent of a vending machine that only spits out Gatorade and wins. They average 86.4 points per game (8th nationally) and 10.8 three-pointers per contest (28th overall), while shooting a scorching 40.5% from deep. Their star, PJ Haggerty (22.7 PPG, 4.7 APG), is the team’s human highlight reel, and Abdi Bashir Jr. bombs threes like a caffeinated circus act. Defensively? They’re not exactly the Harlem Globetrotters’ blocking squad, but they hold opponents to 77.1 PPG—good enough for a +102 scoring differential.

South Dakota, meanwhile, is the basketball equivalent of a toaster in a monsoon: occasionally functional, but best avoided. While they sport a +28 scoring differential (84.0 PPG, 81.8 allowed), their defense ranks 329th in points allowed, and their three-point shooting (6.0 per game, 331st) makes them the NBA’s Steph Curry in reverse. Their star, Isaac Bruns (20.5 PPG), is a scoring machine, but even he can’t offset the fact that South Dakota allows 10.7 more points per game on the road (77.5) than at home (87.8).

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### The News: Injuries, Road Struggles, and Why This Spread Exists
Kansas State’s most recent victory over Creighton was led by David Castillo’s 19 points, but let’s be real: their depth chart is as deep as a kiddie pool. No major injuries reported—yet—though if Nate Johnson’s 2 SPG continue, maybe he’ll start blocking opponents’ escape routes from Bramlage Coliseum.

South Dakota? They’re the team that trips over its own shoelaces on the way to the locker room. A 0-4 road record isn’t just bad; it’s a cry for help. Their “defense” allows opponents to shoot 31.7% from deep, which is like letting a toddler loose in a bakery and expecting them to count calories. And let’s not forget: they’re facing a Kansas State squad that outrebounds them by ~5 per game and makes 2.5 more threes per contest.

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### The Humor: Because Sports Needs Comedy, Not Therapy
If basketball had a “Most Likely to Win This Game” award, Kansas State would be wearing the sash, holding the trophy, and giving a victory speech by halftime. Their three-pointers are like a popcorn machine at a movie theater—constant, loud, and impossible to ignore. South Dakota’s defense? It’s the screen door on a hurricane. You think you’re protected, but really, the wind (and Chaminade’s 150-point game) just whips through.

And that spread? -21.5 is the sportsbooks’ way of saying, “We’re not even trying to trick you here.” It’s the basketball equivalent of betting on a tortoise vs. a Tesla. Sure, the tortoise might “win” if the Tesla’s GPS is set to Turtle Town, but… no.

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### The Verdict: Why You’re Betting on Kansas State Like It’s Black Friday
The math doesn’t lie: Kansas State’s +102 scoring differential and 40.5% three-point shooting will dismantle South Dakota’s porous defense. Even if the Coyotes play their best, the Wildcats’ home-court advantage (5-2 this season) and South Dakota’s road woes (0-4) make this a mismatch. The only question is whether Kansas State will win by 22 points or 32—both are equally likely, like asking if a duck will quack or… well, quack.

Final Prediction: Kansas State 89, South Dakota 68. The Coyotes might as well bring a “How to Shoot Free Throws” manual—they’ll need it more than their three-pointers.

Now go bet on the obvious, but maybe don’t tell your bookie I called it “obvious.” They’ll raise the spread to -30.

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