Prediction: Tommy Paul VS Karen Khachanov 2025-05-30

The French Open, where the clay is as slippery as Karen Khachanov's chances of beating Tommy Paul. Just kidding, Khachanov has a fighting chance, but the stats are stacked against him.

Tommy Paul, the 12th seed, has had a strong season, reaching four semifinals, including the hardcourt semifinals in Adelaide and Dallas. He's also fared well on clay, reaching the semifinals at the US Men's Clay-Court Championships and the Italian Open. Paul has a 2-0 head-to-head record against Khachanov, winning their last match 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 at the Madrid Open.

Khachanov, on the other hand, has struggled on hard courts but has shown improvement on clay, reaching the semifinals in Barcelona and the fourth round in Madrid. However, his results are still not as impressive as Paul's.

The odds are slightly in favor of Khachanov, with prices ranging from 1.69 to 1.77 across different bookmakers. However, I'm going to go against the grain and pick Tommy Paul as my best bet. His strong service and return games, combined with his positive head-to-head record, make him a more attractive choice.

Best Bet: Tommy Paul to win at 2.05 (BetUS) or 2.1 (Bovada, FanDuel). The value is there, and I'm confident Paul will take down Khachanov once again.

More archived Tennis predictions