Prop Bets: New Orleans Pelicans VS Dallas Mavericks 2025-11-21

Humorous Prediction: The Pelicans’ Descent into Statistical Oblivion

The New Orleans Pelicans (2-13) and Dallas Mavericks (4-12) clash in a battle of two teams that could use a win like a drowning man needs a life preserver. The Pelicans, fresh off a 125-118 loss to the Nuggets where Derik Queen heroically dropped 30 points, will likely watch their star’s heroics go to waste again. Why? Because even if Queen scores 37 (hitting the Over on his 22.5-point prop), the Pelicans’ 43.5% win probability suggests they’ll need a miracle—and Zion Williamson’s 22.5-point Under (-122) might just be the closest thing to one they’ll get.

Dallas, meanwhile, will lean on D’Angelo Russell (-114 on 12.5 points) to keep the Over alive. But let’s be real: Russell’s “clutch” performance against the Knicks (23 points) was probably just him finally remembering how to shoot. The Mavericks’ 60.8% win probability isn’t optimism—it’s math’s way of saying, “Hey, at least you’re not the Pelicans.”

Key Props to Watch:
- Zion Williamson (-122 Under 22.5 points): Zion’s 21.3 PPG average makes this a safe bet. He’ll probably underwhelm… literally.
- D’Angelo Russell (-114 Under 12.5 points): Dallas’ “star” will either redeem himself or prove why his team is 13th in the East. Spoiler: It’s the latter.
- Derik Queen (Over 13.5 points): He’s got 30 in his last game, but can he replicate that? Unlikely, but the Over is still a layup compared to the Pelicans’ chances.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas 118, New Orleans 110. The Pelicans will likely lose, but at least Zion will dunk on the hope of next season.

“It’s not a tank if it’s intentional,” as they say.

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