Prop Bets: Winnipeg Jets VS St Louis Blues 2025-12-17

Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues: A Goalie’s Worst Nightmare (and a Shooter’s Best Friend)

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a game where the Winnipeg Jets (-144) will either dominate like a well-oiled machine or crumble like a Oreo in a hurricane. Meanwhile, the St. Louis Blues (+120) are the underdogs with the stats of a team that’s mastered the art of “how to lose 3.6 goals per game.” The total is set at 5.5 goals, and with these two teams combining for a 6.7-goal average this season, the Over is as safe as a goalie’s ego after a shutout.

### Player Props to Bet Your Overpriced Coffee On
1. Daniil Tarasov (Jets Backup Goalie): Over 22.5 Saves (-115)
- Tarasov has been a human wall in net, posting 23+ saves in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Kings average 28.3 shots, but hey, if you’re a backup goalie, why not treat every game like a “prove-it” moment?

2. Pavel Buchnevich (Blues Forward): Over 1.5 Shots (-130)
- With four top Blues shooters sidelined, Buchnevich is the new “star” of the team. He’s already hit 2+ shots in 7/10 games—because nothing says “I’m not a star” like taking 30% of your team’s shots.

3. Josh Morrissey (Jets D-Man): Over 1.5 Shots (-120)
- Morrissey is averaging 24:25 of ice time and has 19 shots on goal in 31 attempts. He’s like a Swiss Army knife… if the knife also had a 20% chance of scoring a goal every shift.

4. Kyle Connor (Jets Forward): Over 0.5 Assists (-128)
- Connor’s on a 7-game assist streak and leads the Blues in points. If he doesn’t hit this prop, maybe the Blues will finally realize they need to trade for a better power-play unit.

5. Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings Forward): Anytime Goalscorer (+150)
- DeBrincat’s scored 4 goals in his last two games. If he doesn’t net one here, we’ll all question why he’s not playing for the Jets instead.

### Why the Jets Will Win (Probably)
- The Jets allow 3.1 goals per game (16th), while the Blues surrender 3.6 (32nd). Defense? What defense?
- Winnipeg’s Corsi For percentage is fifth in the league, meaning they’ll likely out-shoot the Blues’ out-of-shape defense.
- The Jets have a 55.6% win rate as favorites this season. The Blues? A mere 55.6% as underdogs. Coincidence? Probably not.

### Why the Blues Might Shock Us (Probably Not)
- The Blues have a 75.0% points percentage in their last 10 games, but that’s mostly because they’ve tied games they had no business winning.
- Their goalie, Jordan Binnington, has a .869 save percentage (65th in the league). If he plays like a human version of the “clown car” meme, the Jets might feast.

Final Prediction:
The Jets will win 4-3 in a game that feels like a hockey version of The Hangover. Tarasov will make 24 saves, Buchnevich will take 3 shots (because underachievers rise to the occasion), and Morrissey will somehow score a goal on a deflection. Bet the Over, because these teams combined for 6+ goals in 20 of their last 32 meetings—proof that even the worst teams can create chaos.

Implied Probabilities (for the Over/Under 5.5):
- Over: ~52.6% (decimal odds: 1.91)
- Under: ~52.6% (decimal odds: 1.91)
Translation: The bookmakers are basically flipping a coin. Bet accordingly.

Moral of the Story: If you’re a Blues fan, invest in a time machine and draft Connor McDavid in 2015. Everyone else, bet the Jets and enjoy the fireworks.

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